WHAT IS NEW - IAEA report on Iran: more of the same, more hype - TRUE SIGNIFICANCE OF THE IAEA REPORT http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2011/11/nov-2011-iaea-report-analysis.html Thus far, everything is as usual in the IAEA report. There are only two real differences between the current report and the prior reports.The first difference is the long explanation full of legal language at the begining of the IAEA report, in which the IAEA essentially claims it has a right to act as an enforcer of the UN Security Council demands on Iran. The reason why the IAEA has resorted to including this long-winded explanation is because there's some real legal problems with such a claim. The IAEA is actually not "in charge" of the Non Proliferation Treat. The IAEA is not the implementing organization of the NPT. In fact, the membership of the IAEA is different from that of the NPT: India, Israel and Pakistan, which are not signatories to NPT, are members of the IAEA and two of them (India and Pakistan) are usually members of the IAEA's Board of Governors (where India voted against Iran in exchange for obtaining a bribe from the US that itself violated the NPT) whereas a number of NPT signatories are not members of the IAEA at all. The IAEA Board had 151 members as of March 2010, while the NPT has 190 States Parties as of October 2010.The second difference - and this is perhaps the most signicant difference, at least in form -- is that the IAEA has attached an "Annex" that details the "Alleged Studies" we've heard so much about (now renamed as "Possible Military Dimensions") As I mentioned before, under Elbaradei, the IAEA had resisted releasing this information, because they had judged it to be insufficiently verifiable. This annex mostly contains all the usual allegations we've heard about in the past -nuclear initiators, etc. So when they finally were rid of IAEA head Elbaradei after muchskulduggery, and replaced him with a pro-US Amano, it was only natural that the "Alleged Studies" would gain more prominence (and a new name - "Possible Military Dimensions.")CONCLUSION I think two conclusions can be reached. First, with Amano in charge, the "hype" with regard to the IAEA over Iran will continue more or less unchecked, with the usual claims about how "according to the IAEA," Iran is on the "brink" of building nukes etc. Second, we'll be seeing a lot of spin by the Iran warmongers, claiming - falsely - that the IAEA report has vindicated their position, and so the NIE should be ignored. And that will be the more significant consequence.
U.S. 2008 Intelligence Assessment and Illusions of French Intelligence amidst Amano Report http://www.rajanews.com/detail.asp?id=107078
U.S. 2008 Intelligence Assessment and Illusions of French Intelligence amidst Amano Report http://www.rajanews.com/detail.asp?id=107078
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